Evolving Market Design in Zero-Intelligence Trader Markets
نویسندگان
چکیده
The Continuous Double Auction (CDA) is one of the most popular of all auction market-mechanisms in the world. Some of the biggest trade markets in the world including the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are organised as CDAs. Previous work using Genetic Algorithms (GAs) for automated mechanism design by Cliff has shown that previously unknown ‘hybrid’ variants of the traditional CDA can lead to the most desirable market dynamics. Cliff’s results were based on experiments conducted using a computational simulation of the CDA populated by electronic Zero Intelligence Plus (ZIP) traders and his work uses a GA to co-evolve the market mechanism as well as the ZIP agent parameters. The exclusive use of the ZIP trading algorithm in all his work raises questions about the robustness of his results to any change in the trading algorithm used. In this paper we use a self-adaptive Evolutionary Strategy (ES) to explore the space of possible auction types in a CDA populated by Gode and Sunder’s cognitively simple Zero Intelligence Constrained (ZI-C) traders. We show that hybrid CDAs are still preferred over traditional variants and our results provide the first demonstration that hybrid variants of the CDA can provide favourable dynamics for trading strategies other than ZIP.
منابع مشابه
More than Zero Intelligence Needed for Continuous Double-Auction Trading
Gode & Sunder's (1993) results from using \zerointelligence" (zi) traders, that act randomly within a continuous double-auction (cda) market, appear to imply that human-like convergence to the theoretical equilibrium price in such markets is determined more by market structure than by the intelligence of the traders in that market. This paper presents a mathematical analysis that predicts serio...
متن کاملZero intelligence in economics and finance
This paper reviews the Zero Intelligence methodology for investigating markets. This approach models individual traders, operating within a market mechanism, who behave without strategy in order to determine the impact of the market mechanism and consequently the effect of trader behaviour. The paper considers the major contributions and models within this area from both the economics and finan...
متن کاملPrice Evolution in a Continuous Double Auction Prediction Market With a Scoring-Rule Based Market Maker
The logarithmic market scoring rule (LMSR), the most common automated market making rule for prediction markets, is typically studied in the framework of dealer markets, where the market maker takes one side of every transaction. The continuous double auction (CDA) is a much more widely used microstructure for general financial markets in practice. In this paper, we study the properties of CDA ...
متن کاملCo-evolving Trading Strategies to Analyze Bounded Rationality in Double Auction Markets
We investigate double-auction (DA) market behavior under traders with different degrees of rationality (intelligence or cognitive ability). The rationality of decision making is implemented using genetic programming (GP), where each trader evolves a population of strategies to conduct an auction. By assigning the GP traders different population sizes to differentiate their cognitive ability, th...
متن کاملHuman and Artificial Agents in a Crash-Prone Financial Market
We introduce human traders into an agent based financial market simulation prone to bubbles and crashes. We find that human traders earn lower profits overall than do the simulated agents (“robots”) but earn higher profits in the most crash-intensive periods. Inexperienced human traders tend to destabilize the smaller (10 trader) markets, but have little impact on bubbles and crashes in larger ...
متن کامل